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0.713, "raceLogLoss": 1.8909, "horseBrier": 0.06826 }, "caveat": "Fixed parameters; no fitting on or tuning against this period in this run. Some dates were examined in earlier experiments, so this is not an untouched prospective test." }, "sameRaceHistoryComparison": { "sameRaces": 164, "baseline": { "races": 164, "top1Count": 29, "top3Count": 83 }, "expanded": { "races": 164, "top1Count": 41, "top3Count": 91 }, "baselineSource": "research/baseline_196_races_2026.json" } }, "sources": [ { "raceId": "2026-11-07_9_5", "sourceUrl": "https://www.atg.se/services/racinginfo/v1/api/races/2026-11-07_9_5/extended", "sha256": "a1982c8d02209ca93b4c3a4cf7d12b048d75fc2b909a686717f5c56d51fbc0c9" }, { "raceId": "2026-11-07_9_6", "sourceUrl": "https://www.atg.se/services/racinginfo/v1/api/races/2026-11-07_9_6/extended", "sha256": "e4d981c1fd4f1a36cee03099cad0ca93abecb7c13672d83e77ba9c4c3b079f93" }, { "raceId": "2026-11-07_9_7", "sourceUrl": "https://www.atg.se/services/racinginfo/v1/api/races/2026-11-07_9_7/extended", "sha256": "22ac6decd05cb9d1ad04344d83defc7f61421845185efd08893aaae65d44c8da" }, { "raceId": "2026-11-07_9_8", "sourceUrl": "https://www.atg.se/services/racinginfo/v1/api/races/2026-11-07_9_8/extended", "sha256": "5869b1f91f36884ce64595bfb80437a1d7ad333edfce98bcf21fa5ec690f7c40" }, { "raceId": "2026-11-07_9_9", "sourceUrl": "https://www.atg.se/services/racinginfo/v1/api/races/2026-11-07_9_9/extended", "sha256": "2ce25dd25d68e62f69a273964c9b7ef4fa65df692c640def437285a444fcb196" }, { "raceId": "2026-11-07_9_10", "sourceUrl": "https://www.atg.se/services/racinginfo/v1/api/races/2026-11-07_9_10/extended", "sha256": "9b3545d8e6d7a5c4c2bc92acb1692ee78722d490c4f9c8efc8ef8fe8a5390053" }, { "raceId": "2026-11-07_9_11", "sourceUrl": "https://www.atg.se/services/racinginfo/v1/api/races/2026-11-07_9_11/extended", "sha256": "fb41eeca31bfedaa07806ab53203c5e0f9806fa7e8dbcd65f6b1e00b6f609816" }, { "raceId": "2026-11-07_9_12", "sourceUrl": "https://www.atg.se/services/racinginfo/v1/api/races/2026-11-07_9_12/extended", "sha256": "9550b84f5bebc5dc69c5512998078cbc679e2c004e0e7c1a83d14b1b12f0fab3" } ], "limitations": "Experimentell ranking från utvalda kompletta historiska lopp. Modellpoäng är inte kalibrerad vinstchans. Odds, streck, aktuellt resultat, hästnamn, kusk, tränare och karriärstatistik ingår inte som modellvariabler. Galoppvariabeln är avstängd för jämförbarhet med grundförsöket. Testet är retrospektivt och visar inte lönsamhet.", "races": [ { "leg": 1, "raceId": "2026-11-07_9_5", "horses": [ { "raceId": "2026-11-07_9_5", "leg": 1, "number": 1, "name": "Jaguar Godiva", "prestartFeatures": { "post": 1.0, "distance": 1640.0, "field": 12, "auto": 1, "starts5": 5, "form_place_mean": 4, "win5": 0, "top3_5": 3, "days_off": 7, "gallop5": null, "km_median": 71.85, "past_purse_log": 16.418 }, "modelScore": 0.16802628, "rank": 1 }, { "raceId": "2026-11-07_9_5", "leg": 1, "number": 6, "name": "Readly Brodde", "prestartFeatures": { "post": 6.0, "distance": 1640.0, "field": 12, "auto": 1, "starts5": 5, "form_place_mean": 1.333, "win5": 2, "top3_5": 3, "days_off": 24, "gallop5": null, "km_median": null, "past_purse_log": 16.418 }, "modelScore": 0.15408953, "rank": 2 }, { "raceId": "2026-11-07_9_5", "leg": 1, "number": 4, "name": "Global Dependable", "prestartFeatures": { "post": 4.0, "distance": 1640.0, "field": 12, "auto": 1, "starts5": 5, "form_place_mean": 1.5, "win5": 1, 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